[Geysers] [Fwd: Old Faithful regression formula]

[Tom Kearney]

Lynn:  I know the 5 new people this summer did not wait for the last drop 
from Old Faithful, but in the middle of the summer I told some of them that 
"we always did it that way in the old days."  I don't know if they went on 
to time Old Faithful to the last drop, but I was never trained to do 
otherwise, and I suspect the other "old timers" at the VC still wait for the 
last drop.

Carolyn, do you know anything definite about it?

Tom Kearney


"There appears to be no notion too absurd for those who rely upon faith."  
--  Tom Kearney





>From: "Lynn Stephens" <lstephens2006 at hotmail.com>
>Reply-To: geyser observation reports <geysers at wwc.edu>
>To: geysers at wwc.edu
>Subject: Re: [Geysers] [Fwd: Old Faithful regression formula]
>Date: Sun, 19 Nov 2006 18:11:57 -0700
>
>As Ralph noted, the prediction model is currently a simple prediction model
>rather than a regression model.  Because the staff has not been trained to
>time Old Faithful durations until the last drop of water, I  suspect it is
>no longer possible to generate an accurate regression model using recorded
>intervals and durations from the Old Faithful Visitor Center logbook.
>
>
> >From: Udo Freund <gosastore at qnet.com>
> >Reply-To: geyser observation reports <geysers at wwc.edu>
> >To: geyser observation reports <geysers at wwc.edu>
> >CC: tculliso at mines.edu
> >Subject: [Geysers] [Fwd: Old Faithful regression formula]
> >Date: Sun, 19 Nov 2006 07:12:06 -0800
> >
> >To all on the list,
> >Please help Thomas.  I believe predictions are no longer based upon a
> >regression formula, or are they?  As I understand current activity, OF
> >erupts bimodally, shorts are rare and longs are common.
> >
> >Thanks,
> >Udo
> >
> >
> >Hello,
> >
> >I'm currently and undergrad at the Colorado School of Mines, and I'm
> >working on a project that includes creating a simple computational
> >model for geyser behavior.  I'm focusing on Old Faithful, and I was
> >hopping could find the regression formula currently used to predict
> >each subsequent eruption.  I haven't been able to locate the
> >information on the web or in any journals and etc . . .. I'm going to
> >try and introduce some random behavior in the hopes of producing
> >behavior similar to Old Faithfuls, and I'd like to compare my results
> >with the regression model.  My hope is that someone at the GOSA has
> >accesses to this formula and would be willing to share it with me.
> >
> >Thank you,
> >Thomas Cullison
> >Geophysical Engineering
> >Colorado School of Mines
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
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> >https://mailman.wwc.edu/mailman/listinfo/geysers
>
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