[Geysers] Lone Star Predictions

Matthew McLean funkygman007 at gmail.com
Mon Oct 1 17:57:30 PDT 2012


I am not sure what the current intervals are, but I do remember that back
in the early 2000s, they were close enough to 3 hours that if someone had
written it in the logbook the day before it was easy to determine a good
estimate for the current day.  Especially handy if someone had reported the
times to the VC - great way to plan a hike/bike.

Matthew McLean
On Oct 1, 2012 8:38 PM, "Michael Goldberg" <goldbeml at ucmail.uc.edu> wrote:

> I agree with everything Scott said here.  The logbook was still there when
> I visited in July.  It's an interesting cultural artifact as well as a
> repository of crowd-sourced eruption times.
>
> One thing I noticed on the last visit is that Lone Star seemed to have a
> few distinct modes of preplay.  One is the hevy sloppy splashing and
> jetting from the main vent that makes you wonder how much it's going to
> take to get an eruption started.  Another mode has quiet overflow from the
> main vent and intermittent spitting from other little holes on top of the
> cone, then it builds steadily into the eruption.
> (if there was a third mode, I forget what it is now.)
>
> My impression is that recovery after a major eruption always follows the
> first mode.  And the second mode might be typical of recovery from a
> full-length (4-5 minute) minor eruption leading into a major.
>
> But I only watched a few cycles, not nearly enough to draw conclusions.
> Has anyone else noticed this behavior before?
> I'm pretty sure it is not new.
>
> Michael Goldberg
> Michael.Goldberg at uc.edu
>
> On Sat, 29 Sep 2012, TSBryan at aol.com wrote:
>
>  By and large, you are on your own so sit and watch! Times for Lone Star
>> are seldom reported to the VC. There is (is it still there?) a log book at
>> the geyser, and if it is there then maybe somebody entered the previous
>> eruption time. Or not. Remember that Lone Star undergoes one or more minors
>> before the major. But there are a lot of other features in that area.
>> Explore, and enjoy.
>>
>> This e-mail gives me the opportunity to say this: many thanks for those
>> who
>> read through the manuscript of my new book, "Arizona Rocks!". I can
>> finally  announce that the book has finally gotten past the page proof
>> stage and
>> that  actual publication is near. The editor says that she thinks it will
>> be
>> available  for distribution sometime in January 2013. Yes! Actually next
>> year! Yea. At  last.
>>
>> Scott
>>
>> In a message dated 9/29/2012 9:25:27 A.M. US Mountain Standard Time,
>> OTTS at byui.edu writes:
>>
>> How can I get the eruption times for Lone Star Geyser from yesterday
>> (Friday, September 28).  I would like to know when the eruptions are
>> predicted for today (Satureday).  I know that the interval is very close to
>> 3 hours, and I want to minimize the waiting time when I get there.
>>
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