[Geysers] Lone Star Predictions

[Michael Goldberg]

I agree with everything Scott said here.  The logbook was still there when 
I visited in July.  It's an interesting cultural artifact as well as a 
repository of crowd-sourced eruption times.

One thing I noticed on the last visit is that Lone Star seemed to have a 
few distinct modes of preplay.  One is the hevy sloppy splashing and 
jetting from the main vent that makes you wonder how much it's going to 
take to get an eruption started.  Another mode has quiet overflow from 
the main vent and intermittent spitting from other little holes on top of 
the cone, then it builds steadily into the eruption.
(if there was a third mode, I forget what it is now.)

My impression is that recovery after a major eruption always follows 
the first mode.  And the second mode might be typical of recovery from a 
full-length (4-5 minute) minor eruption leading into a major.

But I only watched a few cycles, not nearly enough to draw conclusions. 
Has anyone else noticed this behavior before?
I'm pretty sure it is not new.

Michael Goldberg
Michael.Goldberg at uc.edu

On Sat, 29 Sep 2012, TSBryan at aol.com wrote:

> By and large, you are on your own so sit and watch! Times for Lone Star 
> are seldom reported to the VC. There is (is it still there?) a log book 
> at the geyser, and if it is there then maybe somebody entered the 
> previous eruption time. Or not. Remember that Lone Star undergoes one or 
> more minors before the major. But there are a lot of other features in 
> that area. Explore, and enjoy.
>
> This e-mail gives me the opportunity to say this: many thanks for those who
> read through the manuscript of my new book, "Arizona Rocks!". I can
> finally  announce that the book has finally gotten past the page proof stage and
> that  actual publication is near. The editor says that she thinks it will be
> available  for distribution sometime in January 2013. Yes! Actually next
> year! Yea. At  last.
>
> Scott
>
> In a message dated 9/29/2012 9:25:27 A.M. US Mountain Standard Time,
> OTTS at byui.edu writes:
>
> How can I get the eruption times for Lone Star Geyser from yesterday 
> (Friday, September 28).  I would like to know when the eruptions are 
> predicted for today (Satureday).  I know that the interval is very close 
> to 3 hours, and I want to minimize the waiting time when I get there.
>