[Geysers] Morning hypotheses

[Lynn Stephens]

I had the Fountain Complex under observation at the "appropriate" times on July 4, 5, and August 30 don't believe Morning erupted on those days.   Lynn Stephens
 From: TSBryan at aol.com
Date: Tue, 13 Nov 2012 15:44:46 -0500
To: geysers at lists.wallawalla.edu
Subject: [Geysers] Morning hypotheses






Hi, All. With thanks again to Jake and Will, here is a little 
something the proves I have too much idle time on my hands. See the attached 
PDF.
 
Looking that the data for Fountain Geyser, as posted by Jake, a number of 
curious things can be see when that data is merged with known Morning Geyser 
eruption episodes. And a lot can be inferred/hypothesized.
 
We know that this summer (2012), most Fountain intervals were in the range 
of 9 to 12 hours. Longer intervals (especially though not exclusively any longer 
than 13 hours) deserve attention. With just two exceptions (one being the 
Fountain-Morning dual eruption of October 30), all Morning eruptions were 
associated with Fountain intervals longer than 12 hours.
 
So we look at the Fountain data. It is easy to find Fountain-Fountain 

intervals near or longer than 13 hours. Were any of these "caused" by Morning 
erupting during that interval? Probably so, I think.
 
Consider also the known intervals from the last Fountain before Morning to 
Morning. Here excepting only that dual event, these intervals were: 6h 00m, 7h 
26m, 7h23m, 7h 04m, 7h 00m, and 7h 03m. (Interestingly consistent, yes?) 
 
OK, so look, for example, at July 20, 2012. Fountain erupted at 0714. 
Another Fountain would not have been anticipated until after 1600 at the 
earliest and probably closer to 1800. So, was anybody (gazer, that is) out there 
looking at, say, 1400? Likely not. Did Morning erupt then? Maybe so, though 
we'll probably never know.
 
Jake apparently did not know about the second eruption on October 30, but 
based on durations inferred in the electronic data, he also hypothesized an 
eruption on October 22, as I did using the long interval.
 
By the way, per my hypotheses in the PDF, the Morning to Morning intervals 
in rounded-off days are really quite similar to such intervals noted by Marler 
in the 1940s and 1950s.
 
Now who is going to shoot this down? (Hi, Maureen!) I anticipate that some 
of this will be annihilated, but maybe not all.
 
Scott Bryan
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