[Geysers] Morning hypotheses

TSBryan at aol.com TSBryan at aol.com
Tue Nov 13 12:44:46 PST 2012


Hi, All. With thanks again to Jake and Will, here is a little  something 
the proves I have too much idle time on my hands. See the attached  PDF.
 
Looking that the data for Fountain Geyser, as posted by Jake, a number of  
curious things can be see when that data is merged with known Morning Geyser 
 eruption episodes. And a lot can be inferred/hypothesized.
 
We know that this summer (2012), most Fountain intervals were in the range  
of 9 to 12 hours. Longer intervals (especially though not exclusively any 
longer  than 13 hours) deserve attention. With just two exceptions (one being 
the  Fountain-Morning dual eruption of October 30), all Morning eruptions 
were  associated with Fountain intervals longer than 12 hours.
 
So we look at the Fountain data. It is easy to find Fountain-Fountain  
intervals near or longer than 13 hours. Were any of these "caused" by Morning  
erupting during that interval? Probably so, I think.
 
Consider also the known intervals from the last Fountain before Morning to  
Morning. Here excepting only that dual event, these intervals were: 6h 00m, 
7h  26m, 7h23m, 7h 04m, 7h 00m, and 7h 03m. (Interestingly consistent, 
yes?) 
 
OK, so look, for example, at July 20, 2012. Fountain erupted at 0714.  
Another Fountain would not have been anticipated until after 1600 at the  
earliest and probably closer to 1800. So, was anybody (gazer, that is) out there  
looking at, say, 1400? Likely not. Did Morning erupt then? Maybe so, though  
we'll probably never know.
 
Jake apparently did not know about the second eruption on October 30, but  
based on durations inferred in the electronic data, he also hypothesized an  
eruption on October 22, as I did using the long interval.
 
By the way, per my hypotheses in the PDF, the Morning to Morning intervals  
in rounded-off days are really quite similar to such intervals noted by 
Marler  in the 1940s and 1950s.
 
Now who is going to shoot this down? (Hi, Maureen!) I anticipate that some  
of this will be annihilated, but maybe not all.
 
Scott Bryan
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