[Geysers] Giant?
Steven Krause
S_Krause at mchsi.com
Tue Oct 11 17:28:58 PDT 2011
When looking at data of unknown overall quality, at work we employ a
couple techinques to cut the noise level down and increase the
confidence in the data without having to resort to statistical
techniques that don't apply to very small data samples.
They're pretty simple. The biggest hazard here would be the risk of
offending potentially valuable contributors.
A> Require an ID. Could be anything - doesn't matter as long as it's a
unique ID to the poster. Yes, this creates additional headache, but good
data is worth it, right?
B> "Behind the scenes" there is a confidence level assigned to that ID.
100% for an acknowledged accurate observer. Less than that for a casual
observer. Lowest for a previously unknown.
C> Don't post low grade observations publically until a couple days
after when there's been a chance to confirm them. Liars are looking to
create a stir, and the inability to instantly gratify their need may be
enough to discourage goofy stuff like this.
The downside, obviously, is that the whole thing just became more of a
chore to manage which may be enough of an argument against it.
SRK
On 10/11/2011 11:01 AM, David Monteith wrote:
> Thank you Karen for checking Giant this morning.
>
> This is what she found.
>
> Karen› "Giant definitely did not erupt. All 5 log signs in position"
>
> This is not the first "hoax" post to the online geyser log. This is a
> problem because I'm beginning to believe that the online geyser logs are
> our best opportunity to preserve and distribute visually observed geyser
> times. The OFVEC logbook has gotten sparse. Reports to the geyser list
> or on Facebook are extremely sparse, to say the least. People seem to
> be using the online logs. So I have two questions I'd like to hear
> opinions about.
>
> 1) How important are the online logs to capturing geyser information?
>
> 2) How do we minimize errors in that log?
>
> I know the ultimate decisions affecting the online logs are up to Jake
> and Alan, but I'm wondering what others think.
>
> The links to the online logs are
> GeyserTimes.org<http://www.geysertimes.org/index.php>
> Geyser.Net Mobile<http://www.geysers.net/mobile/>
>
> If you haven't been to GeyserTimes recently, Jake has added some nice
> features including some data reduction capabilities.
>
> Dave
>
> On Tue, 2011-10-11 at 02:02 -0700, David Monteith wrote:
>> Someone posted Giant on GeyserTimes.org at 0250 Tuesday morning
>> 10/11/11. I would love to hear more.
>>
>> Dave
>>
>> _______________________________________________
>>
--
Steven Krause
Chillicothe, IL
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