[Geysers] Fan and Mortar history
Tara Cross
fanandmortar at hotmail.com
Wed Dec 21 02:48:43 PST 2011
One thing I forgot to mention in my first post is that, just as it was uncharacteristic of Fan & Mortar to quit in August 2005, so it is unexpected for it to commence dormancy in October. In the past two active phases, October has been a good month for F&M, as opposed to April, May, and June, which have historically been the worst. For the rest of the 9 months, 5 to 7 eruptions has been a normal good month. (I'd give numbers for November also, except that for several years there is no information about eruptions due to park closure; I'll just say that for years when electronic data was available, November was also a normal good month.)
Anyway, the number of eruptions in October for each active year since 2000 are:
2000: 5
2001: 7
2002: 7
2003: 5
2004: 6
2005-06: dormant
2007: 6
2008: 6
2009: 7
2010: 9
2011: 3, dormancy began October 15
The 9 eruptions in 2010 match the best for a single month for the past 2 active phases, at least according to my records. It happened about a half dozen times.
--Tara Cross
fanandmortar at hotmail.com
From: fanandmortar at hotmail.com
To: geysers at lists.wallawalla.edu
Date: Sun, 18 Dec 2011 16:30:29 -0700
Subject: Re: [Geysers] Fan and Mortar history
I have fairly complete records of Fan & Mortar from 2000 through 2011.
Here
are the numbers for the 2000-2005 active phase (ok, so this is probably
more detail than anyone really wanted, but since I had the numbers in
front of me, I thought I'd share):
First eruption: January 2000 (missing exact date), followed by several intervals of a month or more.
July 8-late October: intervals mostly 1-2 weeks
October 2000 to June 7, 2001: intervals 3 1/2-14 days
June 7, 2001 to April 8, 2003: intervals mostly 3-7 days; longest eruption of the "spring slowdown" in 2002 was only 9d21h38m
April 26-June 8: mini-dormancy of 42d19h25m (longest interval of active phase)
June 8-December 20: erratic intervals of mostly 4-11 days
Dec 20, 2003-January 24, 2004: mini-dormancy of 35d01h14m
February 2004: back to shorter intervals
March-June: long, erratic intervals of 9-27 days
July-August: short, regular intervals of 2 1/2-6 days EXCEPT for the shortest interval of the active phase, 1d15h56m
September-October: erratic intervals 2-9 days
November 2004-March 2005 : regular intervals 2 1/4-6 1/2 days
April-May: spring slowdown, longest interval 16d01h21m
June-August 8: regular intervals of 2-6 days
August 8: active phase comes to a screeching halt with no warning
And, here are the numbers for the 2007-2011 active phase:
June 5, 2007: first eruption, interval approximately 22 months
June
2007-April 2008: First interval 36 days, then intervals erratic, a few
periods of 3-5 day intervals but some much longer ones thrown in (up to
24d
April 2008-June 2008: Mini-dormancy of at least 57 days (longest interval of active phase)
July 2008-November 2008: intervals mostly 2 1/2-5 1/2 days with a little slowdown in October
November 2008-April 2009: not much known, hard to know from occasional washed marker reports
April 25-May 31: mini-dormancy of at least 35 days
June 2009-December 2010: intervals mostly 3-6 days (longest interval of 2010 spring slowdown: 12d3h34m)
January-April 2011: intervals 5-8 days
May 3-June ~18: mini-dormancy of ~45-46 days
July-October 15: intervals 2 1/2-6 days
October
14-15 overnight: last eruption of active phase; hard to tell if there
was any warning due to most eruptions occurring at night
So,
that's more than you ever wanted to know about F&M. The 2007-2011
active phase was a little more erratic than 2000-2005 with several
mini-dormancies. But both active phases had extended periods of very
regular intervals, and *most* eruptions were preceded by "event
cycles." The nature of these evolved over time but thanks to radios,
Fan & Mortar were certainly more seeable in the 2000s than ever
before.
--Tara Cross
fanandmortar at hotmail.com
> Date: Sat, 17 Dec 2011 23:18:39 -0500
> From: goldbeml at ucmail.uc.edu
> To: geysers at lists.wallawalla.edu
> Subject: [Geysers] Fan and Mortar history
>
> Between the season-ending reports that Fan and Mortar looked "broken" and
> the lack of washed markers to start the winter, I have a sinking feeling
> that they've gone dormant for the time being.
>
> I've cobbled together an incomplete history of F&M active phases over the
> past 25 years. Some of it is personal recollection. Where possible I
> have corroborated (or corrected) it using the OFVC logbook data posted
> on GOSA's website.
>
> Dormant 1985-86?
> Active 1987-88
> Dormant or very infrequent 1989 (early issues of the Sput would know)
> Active 1990-94
> Dormant 1995-June 1996
> Active June 1996-May 1998
> Dormant May 1998-July 2000
> Active July 2000-August 2005
> Dormant August 2005-June 2007
> Active June 2007-October 2011
>
> In many of the active years, there is a seasonal period of longer
> intervals (sometimes over a month) during the spring high water.
> The onset of actual dormancy appears to come at any time, often without
> warning (2005 is a good example).
>
> On the flip side, once eruptions resume the intervals might drop right
> away to their normal range. Let's hope that happens again soon.
>
> Michael Goldberg
> michael.goldberg at uc.edu
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> Geysers mailing list
> Geysers at lists.wallawalla.edu
>
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